Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000021 0.000023 0.000026 0.000030 0.000034 0.000039 0.000045
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000020 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048 0.000063
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000041 0.000057 0.000084
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000068 0.000112
2025-03-02 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000031 0.000048 0.000079 0.000146
2025-03-09 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000050 0.000088 0.000183
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000052 0.000098 0.000225
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000031 0.000055 0.000110 0.000285
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000031 0.000058 0.000123 0.000362
2025-04-06 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000031 0.000060 0.000135 0.000450
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000031 0.000061 0.000147 0.000553
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000030 0.000063 0.000161 0.000695
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000031 0.000066 0.000183 0.000947
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000031 0.000068 0.000201 0.001247
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000072 0.000228 0.001784
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000077 0.000269 0.002842
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000082 0.000313 0.004668
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000032 0.000085 0.000346 0.007153
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000087 0.000380 0.011247
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000090 0.000432 0.021485
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000094 0.000492 0.048426
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000032 0.000097 0.000545 0.118149
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000031 0.000098 0.000596 0.360394